Tuesday, February 14, 2012

Northern Trust Open

Northern Trust Open

Jason Day: Makes his seasonal debut on the PGA tour but had a superb final round at the Commercialbank Qatar Masters the weekend before last. He showed some devastating iron play that day, hopefully that can continue and he can improve his record around the Riviera GC.  According to the PGA tour website, he has 12 Top 10's in his last 23 starts worldwide, which shows how much of a big player on the tour the now world number Seven has become. He'll be hoping to quiet his doubters, who question his ability to close out tournaments, by getting a win early on in the season. Currently 35/1 on BETDAQ.

Keegan Bradely: Just the One appearance and One missed cut to his name at Riviera, but interestingly chose to play here over the AT&T which took place last week. He came 15th at the AT&T last year but still chose to take last week off in favour of being fresh for this event. I'm sure his experienced caddie 'Pepsi' had something to do with it. Pepsi made Keegan change his mind on playing at the HP Byron Nelson last year, an event he went on to win. 60/1 on Betfair.

Retief Goosen: T12th here last year and has had a good start to 2012 in South Africa and the Middle East, with a 2nd and 3rd place to his name. Very generous prices available on the exchanges for a man with course experience and good 2012 form. 130/1 on Betfair.

Gary Woodland: Makes his Nissan Open debut this week, but has proven he can play just about anywhere with impressive performances in 2011 (6 top 10's). The talented all-rounder has the skill sets required to go well around a tough course like Riviera (12th in GIR for 2011). He represents value on the exchanges at 100/1 on Betfair.

John Senden. Solid player with impressive stats last year (5th in GIR,) and has continued in the same vein in 2012, Currently lies first in Driving accuracy and GIR, albeit having only played two events. Tends to not make too many errors and if that trend continues he could feature in the shake up come Sunday. 110/1 on Betfair.


Trading Strategy

Jason Day: Back 35/1 x  4 Units(U) + View to lay at 2/1 x 40 U.
Keegan Bradley: Back 60/1 x 1.75 U + View to lay (Depends how things pan out)
Retief Goosen: Back 130/1 x 1 U + View to lay
Gary Woodland: Back 100/1 x 1.5 U + View to lay
John Senden: Back 110/1 x 1 U + view to lay

Total Staked: 9.25 Units