I'm back from a small hiatus and no better event to return for than the Ryder Cup. One of the best spectacles in Golf and also a good money making opportunity in my opinion. Unlike a normal event I'll be doing with much shorter odds this week.
Martin Kaymer Top 4 combined points scorer: @ 3/1 : 5 pts : Betfair
Kaymer as we know has the best form of any player in the field, winning the last major and on his last time out, I expect Kaymer to play with Donald and Westwood on day 1. Hopefully, with Donald in the foursomes and Westwood in the fourballs, an absolutely fantastic chance to get 2 points on the board. As long as he wins one point on day 1 ( of which he is widely expected to play both sessions) he'll feature at least once more on Saturday and in the singles. I would have pinned Martin and Mcilroy as the two who could play all 5 games. You could maybe throw G-Mac into the mix too, if him and Mcilroy can hit it off and win both their games on Friday. The likes of Westowood, Harrington and Donald are expected to play once over the opening day.
As for the US, the stricker/Woods combination was frightening in the Presidents Cup just last year. They brought home maximum points for their team, playing together in every doubles match. Based on their practice sessions in Wales, they may well split up for this event. ( Certainly if they lose their first match, and Tiger isn't near his best) So, I see stricker and possibly Furyk, who could his playing partner, as the biggest threats to the top combined points scorer.
I see Kaymer as the best Chance of getting 3-5 points at Celtic Manor, and really like his potential pairings on Friday.
Another Market I like, is the Total halved match points to be 6 points or over. @ 7/5 : 5pts : Betfair
This would have won in 3 of the last 4 ryder cups. Surprisingly, the singles matches don't have a high turnover for draws, so I have a hunch more than anything else that this year will be an exception and we could see 3/4/5 draws on Sunday. I'm expecting, or rather hoping, for 4 draws on Friday and Saturday and another 4 draws on Sunday, or something in that region. The main fear would be if Europe do run away with it, and I need a couple of halves from the last 6-8 groups on Sunday, the bet could be up shit creek without a paddle, so to speak.
Viking Classic: Interest bet:
I like the look of Allen here, plays mainly on the senior tour these days, wheres he's 4th on the par 5 Birdie or better list. Also a course where the winning marging should be between -12 and -16 so not overly easy, which should suit.
Michael Allen : Top 10 Finnish 2 pts @16/1
Micheal Allen : WIN: 1pts @400/1
Thursday, September 30, 2010
Sunday, September 12, 2010
Update: The Luke Donald saga
So it was a couple of weeks back now when I backed Luke Donald after round 3 at 1,000/1. As predicted he got off to a flyer,. Watching him on the exchanges he went from 1,000 right into 20/1. He had only reached hole 10! was 2 shots off the lead! bogey free, birdie crazy, I really thought he could have the perfect round, due to his very consistent game and great putting ability. Foolish? or what. I was toying with the idea of trading out for e250 profit if he failed to win and 400 if he did. A true win win situation. But alas, I didn't, and I watched him drop shot after shot and my payday went up in smoke. -11 got into a playoff in the end.
People are doing very risky business laying top golfers at 1,000/1 when they still have half a chance of winning, usually after round 2. The leaders who go off late almost always get brought back to the pack. A combination of the late tee-time pressure, the greens drying out, and all the waiting around gets to the players. Even last week, Miguel Angel Jimenez nearly botched up at Crane-Sur-Siere with a 5 shot lead, on the final day going into the turn. He just didn't know how too play the 2 par 5s on the back nine. Jason Day the past couple of weeks, done everyhting text book but someone came and grabbed the title from him.
Bank Breakdown after previuos midweek qualifiers
Bank Breakdown.
Total Staked: 39.6 pts
Total Returned 37 pts
Total loss -2.6 pts.
People are doing very risky business laying top golfers at 1,000/1 when they still have half a chance of winning, usually after round 2. The leaders who go off late almost always get brought back to the pack. A combination of the late tee-time pressure, the greens drying out, and all the waiting around gets to the players. Even last week, Miguel Angel Jimenez nearly botched up at Crane-Sur-Siere with a 5 shot lead, on the final day going into the turn. He just didn't know how too play the 2 par 5s on the back nine. Jason Day the past couple of weeks, done everyhting text book but someone came and grabbed the title from him.
Bank Breakdown after previuos midweek qualifiers
Bank Breakdown.
Total Staked: 39.6 pts
Total Returned 37 pts
Total loss -2.6 pts.
Thursday, September 2, 2010
Euro 2012 weekend qualifiers
Armenia V Ireland: 0-0 Correct Half time score - 3 pts
Ive been eyeing 0-0 HT scores for a while now, Little creativity plus high discipline and effort should mean few chances in the 1st half. Although Ireland have scored some early goals in the past, If Armenia can whether a minor storm, mainly from set-pieces im forecasting, we should see one el'of a boring game.
Deutsche Bank Bet
Jimmy Walker @ 600/1 1pt
Similar thought process as last week ( where I completely blew a great opportunity, when Donald near;y hit the lead from 1,000/1, more on at to come ) The biggest weakness in Walkers game is his driving, and this should be the one course in the playoffs he will get away with it. Longshot, but he's not playing too badly at all.
Ive been eyeing 0-0 HT scores for a while now, Little creativity plus high discipline and effort should mean few chances in the 1st half. Although Ireland have scored some early goals in the past, If Armenia can whether a minor storm, mainly from set-pieces im forecasting, we should see one el'of a boring game.
Deutsche Bank Bet
Jimmy Walker @ 600/1 1pt
Similar thought process as last week ( where I completely blew a great opportunity, when Donald near;y hit the lead from 1,000/1, more on at to come ) The biggest weakness in Walkers game is his driving, and this should be the one course in the playoffs he will get away with it. Longshot, but he's not playing too badly at all.
Sunday, August 29, 2010
Low Risk : High Reward
Just had a nibble on a few players @ 1,000/1 ( or so ) at the Barclays to come from way back and sneak it.
While it's a relatively tough course, I feel there's a -9/-10 out there for an early starter. Added to this, late starters struggle to shoot anything under par due to the dry greens. So i've gone a for four players ranging from -4 to -1, -1 is almost definitely too far back, almost.
So Pick one,
While it's a relatively tough course, I feel there's a -9/-10 out there for an early starter. Added to this, late starters struggle to shoot anything under par due to the dry greens. So i've gone a for four players ranging from -4 to -1, -1 is almost definitely too far back, almost.
So Pick one,
- Luke Donald @ 1,000/1 0.2 Pts
- Charley Hoffman @ 1,000/1 0.2 pts
- Webb Simpson @ 750/1 0.4 pts
- Camillio Villegas @ 1,000/1 0.2 pts
Saturday, August 28, 2010
Wyndham Champ breakdown
Jimmy Walker: 1pt E/W LOSE
Richard S Johnson: 1pt E/W LOSE
Micheal Sim: 1pt win @ 50/1 LOSE (Had E/W not incl. in log.)
Micheal Leitzig:. .5 pt e/w LOSE.
Bank Breakdown.
Total Staked: 34.6 pts
Total Returned 30 pts
Total loss -4.6 pts.
Richard S Johnson: 1pt E/W LOSE
Micheal Sim: 1pt win @ 50/1 LOSE (Had E/W not incl. in log.)
Micheal Leitzig:. .5 pt e/w LOSE.
Bank Breakdown.
Total Staked: 34.6 pts
Total Returned 30 pts
Total loss -4.6 pts.
Sunday, August 22, 2010
Half Time: Correct score 0-0 : Theory
One thing I noted during the World Cup was the vast amount of games being 0-0 at HT. Spain notoriously went 3/4 games 0-0 HT. ( and then went on to win 1-0 usually ) So does this translate to the premiership?
Judging on Yesterdays action ( Saturday 21/08/2010) it may well do. But, I'm sure it would be more of a prominent occurrence in other leagues. 3 of the 7 games in the EPL were 0-0 at HT. 3/7 not a bad return, right? Not really. Ok, but, that includes Arsenal against Blackpool and Chelsea v Wigan. Neither Wigan nor Blackpool are particularly effective at holding teams, so if you would rule them out then 3 out of the 5 games were 0-0 at HT. Everton were only 1-0 up against Wolves too.
If we look at some of the teams involved we might be able to find a pattern. West Brom were 0-0 with Sunderland at the break. West Brom are a decent side as we know, so maybe when they are at home against non top-6 side opposition (who have the ability to cut them open and control a higher amount of possession ) it could lead to a 0-0 ht results. Reasoning is that they will control large amounts of the game and not have that potent attack to score early on, hopefully not leaking anything in the process.
Blackburn are another side that interests me. They don't give much away, fight tooth and nail 'Big Sam style.Which could lead to tight, boring games, such as was the case at Birmingham Yesterday. Birmingham aren't as good as last years league position suggests, in my opinion. But with an organised defence and an inspired Foster they might be able to hold off teams till the break, while not offering much at the other end.
West ham against Bolton was also 0-0 at HT. However while I wouldn't of put West Ham in the 0-0- Category; maybe at Upton Park, where they are controlling lower quality teams, it could be a possibility as they are not confident in front of goal. Bolton, who have changed under their style, (slightly lol) under new management are still solid and lack some creativity, and really suit the 0-0 HT every well. Bolton are off too a good start and do like their setup but that's beside the point.
Everton and Wolves also interested me. Wolves remind me of Blackburn, fight tooth and nail etc: with no real creativity, creating maybe 3/4 chances a game. They are off to a good start as well, which I think is a bit misleading. Everton, while one of the better teams, no doubt, became the perennial 1-0 winners team a couple of seasons ago, and that won't change under Moyes.
Judging on Yesterdays action ( Saturday 21/08/2010) it may well do. But, I'm sure it would be more of a prominent occurrence in other leagues. 3 of the 7 games in the EPL were 0-0 at HT. 3/7 not a bad return, right? Not really. Ok, but, that includes Arsenal against Blackpool and Chelsea v Wigan. Neither Wigan nor Blackpool are particularly effective at holding teams, so if you would rule them out then 3 out of the 5 games were 0-0 at HT. Everton were only 1-0 up against Wolves too.
If we look at some of the teams involved we might be able to find a pattern. West Brom were 0-0 with Sunderland at the break. West Brom are a decent side as we know, so maybe when they are at home against non top-6 side opposition (who have the ability to cut them open and control a higher amount of possession ) it could lead to a 0-0 ht results. Reasoning is that they will control large amounts of the game and not have that potent attack to score early on, hopefully not leaking anything in the process.
Blackburn are another side that interests me. They don't give much away, fight tooth and nail 'Big Sam style.Which could lead to tight, boring games, such as was the case at Birmingham Yesterday. Birmingham aren't as good as last years league position suggests, in my opinion. But with an organised defence and an inspired Foster they might be able to hold off teams till the break, while not offering much at the other end.
West ham against Bolton was also 0-0 at HT. However while I wouldn't of put West Ham in the 0-0- Category; maybe at Upton Park, where they are controlling lower quality teams, it could be a possibility as they are not confident in front of goal. Bolton, who have changed under their style, (slightly lol) under new management are still solid and lack some creativity, and really suit the 0-0 HT every well. Bolton are off too a good start and do like their setup but that's beside the point.
Everton and Wolves also interested me. Wolves remind me of Blackburn, fight tooth and nail etc: with no real creativity, creating maybe 3/4 chances a game. They are off to a good start as well, which I think is a bit misleading. Everton, while one of the better teams, no doubt, became the perennial 1-0 winners team a couple of seasons ago, and that won't change under Moyes.
Saturday, August 21, 2010
Darren Bent First Scorer
2 Pts Darren bent 1st goalscorer @ 9/2 - West Brom v Sunderland.
As I mentioned in a previous Blog, Darren Bent starts games quickly. Last season he was 1st goal scorer in at least 13 Premier League games. ( I think it's more like 15/16 times!!! stopped checking after April)
I didn't back him last week, as he was doubtful to play. Guess what happened? argh.
I think it's more a trait with Sunderland rather than Darren Bent to be honest, they get out of the traps flying and then get complacent in the second half. Anyways, if he doesn't get on the end of something (Bent) he might get a penalty. Quite alot of his goals were penalties last season too.
Total Staked: 2pts
As I mentioned in a previous Blog, Darren Bent starts games quickly. Last season he was 1st goal scorer in at least 13 Premier League games. ( I think it's more like 15/16 times!!! stopped checking after April)
I didn't back him last week, as he was doubtful to play. Guess what happened? argh.
I think it's more a trait with Sunderland rather than Darren Bent to be honest, they get out of the traps flying and then get complacent in the second half. Anyways, if he doesn't get on the end of something (Bent) he might get a penalty. Quite alot of his goals were penalties last season too.
Total Staked: 2pts
Tuesday, August 17, 2010
Wyndham Championship Preview
What do you do when you fall off the horse?
So, we're going to try to get back on track at this low profile event on the PGA tour. Some key points:
A player I fancied at Turning Stone a couple of weeks back before he pulled out is Jimmy Walker. He came 3rd recently at the Greenbrier and is available at 200/1 on Betfair. Driving accuracy is a mere 50% but striking it well enough to do the business around here. Poor course form a negative. I feel he's one who's gone under the radar this week and could have a big chance come Sunday.
Interesting to note that Micheal Sim is 50/1. Which seems very good value if you look at his stats!! But the sats must be lying as he 4 MC's from his last 6 played? Take alook at these bad-ass stats lol. Nationwide stats from 2009.
But I do like him this week, he has shown great potential with, for example, a t-3rd at Turning Stone, and his nationwide tour form this time last year was teriffic.
Another one who takes my eye is Richard S Johnson. I would usually have a player of this calibre pinned for no more wins for a couple of years after he wins one event! But he has performed solidly at the very least since his win in Sweden in July. So, to break that down a little, his last three outings were 1st, T21st and T8th. The last two being on easier type courses, but unfortunately his best round was only a 66. To be honest, I could see him putting together four solid rounds (66-69) but also something along the lines of 69-63-66-70 type performance. ( would you give me 1,000,000/1 on that? xD ) Just a thought.
Chris Di Marco and Davis Love three I ( In Cinema's soon ), are funny one's this week. Two Wonderful players who should suit this course and are at decent prices! But i'm opting against them, Love may suffer from fatigue after the PGA and Di Marco I just feel could start to slowly and leave him self too much to do. Not the most comprehensive of dismissals.
Finally, Micheal Leitzig has me thinking. He has a t9th here from a couple years back and some solid form this summer to go on. Has he got the ability to real low? His history wouldn't suggest it but having posted a -10 and a -12 inside the last month, he might just be tempting it. He's fancied by a few this week too it seems.
Selections:
Total Staked @ Wyndham: 9.6 pts
Profit after Man united game: + 7.0 pts
Liability: - 2.6 pts
So, we're going to try to get back on track at this low profile event on the PGA tour. Some key points:
- Estimated winning score -15 to -18.
- Par 70, only two par 5's.
- Shot course, with only three long par 4's.
- Ranked 24th out of 31 in terms of difficulty for 2009. ( 1 Being uber hard)
- Poor quality field with the exception of Kim, Glover, Ryan Moore, Fred Couples. ( all potential Ryder cup players)
A player I fancied at Turning Stone a couple of weeks back before he pulled out is Jimmy Walker. He came 3rd recently at the Greenbrier and is available at 200/1 on Betfair. Driving accuracy is a mere 50% but striking it well enough to do the business around here. Poor course form a negative. I feel he's one who's gone under the radar this week and could have a big chance come Sunday.
Interesting to note that Micheal Sim is 50/1. Which seems very good value if you look at his stats!! But the sats must be lying as he 4 MC's from his last 6 played? Take alook at these bad-ass stats lol. Nationwide stats from 2009.
But I do like him this week, he has shown great potential with, for example, a t-3rd at Turning Stone, and his nationwide tour form this time last year was teriffic.
Another one who takes my eye is Richard S Johnson. I would usually have a player of this calibre pinned for no more wins for a couple of years after he wins one event! But he has performed solidly at the very least since his win in Sweden in July. So, to break that down a little, his last three outings were 1st, T21st and T8th. The last two being on easier type courses, but unfortunately his best round was only a 66. To be honest, I could see him putting together four solid rounds (66-69) but also something along the lines of 69-63-66-70 type performance. ( would you give me 1,000,000/1 on that? xD ) Just a thought.
Chris Di Marco and Davis Love three I ( In Cinema's soon ), are funny one's this week. Two Wonderful players who should suit this course and are at decent prices! But i'm opting against them, Love may suffer from fatigue after the PGA and Di Marco I just feel could start to slowly and leave him self too much to do. Not the most comprehensive of dismissals.
Finally, Micheal Leitzig has me thinking. He has a t9th here from a couple years back and some solid form this summer to go on. Has he got the ability to real low? His history wouldn't suggest it but having posted a -10 and a -12 inside the last month, he might just be tempting it. He's fancied by a few this week too it seems.
Selections:
- Jimmy Walker: 1pt E/W @ 125/1 SkyBet + 0.6 win @ 190/1 Betfair
- Richard S Johnson: 1pt E/W @ 50/1 Sportingbet + 0.6 win @ 64/1Betfair
- Micheal Sim: 1pt win @ 50/1 Betfair
- Micheal Leitzig:. .5 pt e/w @ 100/1 Sportingbet + 0.4 win @ 120/1 Betfair
Total Staked @ Wyndham: 9.6 pts
Profit after Man united game: + 7.0 pts
Liability: - 2.6 pts
Monday, August 16, 2010
Unitedddddddddddd
I strongly fancy the scum tonight.
John O Shea (JOS) is back starting for united, and i just have a feeling he could knick the first goal from a set-piece. Hasn't a bad record of goals from when he was playing regulalrly and he impressed in some recent friendlies. Also a small chance he could get on the end of something from advancing from right back.
JOS 1st goalscorer @ 47/1 1pt.
Having looked at various bets for united at -1, -2 etc, I stumbled accross United to score in both halves @ 4/5. Usuually slow starters United are hungry from the off this time, it appears. Newcastle's 451 doesnt consist of an out and out Defensive mid, and their midfield being 100% discplined, which is what will be asked off by Houghton.
Man United, to score in both halves @ 4/5
John O Shea (JOS) is back starting for united, and i just have a feeling he could knick the first goal from a set-piece. Hasn't a bad record of goals from when he was playing regulalrly and he impressed in some recent friendlies. Also a small chance he could get on the end of something from advancing from right back.
JOS 1st goalscorer @ 47/1 1pt.
Having looked at various bets for united at -1, -2 etc, I stumbled accross United to score in both halves @ 4/5. Usuually slow starters United are hungry from the off this time, it appears. Newcastle's 451 doesnt consist of an out and out Defensive mid, and their midfield being 100% discplined, which is what will be asked off by Houghton.
Man United, to score in both halves @ 4/5
Weekly Wrap up.
No good this week, very exiciting finale and congrats to all Kaymer backers.
Darren Bent scored first. Frank Lampoard and Drogba, scored and played well in the prem which is key to note. West ham and Wigan were dyer, as were Man city.
Total Staked: 9.2 pts
Total Returned: 0 pts
Total profit:6.6 pts
Darren Bent scored first. Frank Lampoard and Drogba, scored and played well in the prem which is key to note. West ham and Wigan were dyer, as were Man city.
Total Staked: 9.2 pts
Total Returned: 0 pts
Total profit:6.6 pts
Saturday, August 14, 2010
All my picks are goneeeeeeee
The astonishing missed cut mark of +1 means all my picks have failed. Miserbaly. Well actually, just missed the cut by 1/2 shots with the exception of Ishikawa who shot a total of +6.
Halfway stage bets:
D.A Points @400/1 .6 points win
Darren Clarke @ 190/1 .6 points win
KJ Choi @ 400/1 .4 points win
Shaun Micheel @ 370/1 .6 points win.
Logic behind these, is the course is playing easy at the moment, i'm hoping one of these guys can shoot the lights out and it might put me in a position to lay-off or take the jackpot. The reason I picked these group of players is they are well rested and they have shown an ability to shoot low this season with the exception of Clarke, possibly?
Bank to be updated after tourney.
Super 6: Where it's at
SkyBets FREE Super 6 is a great chance to hit the jackpot.
Logic:
It's quite a simple game, guess the correct score of all 6 premier league games at 3pm on Saturdays. Firstly, it's nigh-on impossible to predict all six scores correct. But, taking last season for example, there's always one week things can go right and predictable, and if you get lucky then great you could win the 100k. lovely. More, likely however that you can get 3/4 results right one week and take a share of the 5k jackpot. This is possible to do at least once in season.So, just stick at it, it takes less then two minutes to do.
Free to enter, but you will need a SKYBET account
Regards,
SBTT
Logic:
- Play every week
- Predict low obvious scores
- Goal: Hit the jackpot once in a season.
It's quite a simple game, guess the correct score of all 6 premier league games at 3pm on Saturdays. Firstly, it's nigh-on impossible to predict all six scores correct. But, taking last season for example, there's always one week things can go right and predictable, and if you get lucky then great you could win the 100k. lovely. More, likely however that you can get 3/4 results right one week and take a share of the 5k jackpot. This is possible to do at least once in season.So, just stick at it, it takes less then two minutes to do.
Free to enter, but you will need a SKYBET account
Regards,
SBTT
Wednesday, August 11, 2010
Take your pick!!
Week 2: PGA Championship.
It looks like a links but it's not a links is the only bit of informtation going around about Whistling Straits this week. Thanks for that guys. So what is it?
Who's stupid enough to pick El Nino this week? Meeeeeeeeeeeeeeee.
Reasoning: He's not played that badly the past few weeks, driving it well, also has good par 5 birdie or better stats. Cons, too many to mention, but he rarely plays appalingly and it may just take one moment to spark him into life. Here's hoping he doesn't have one eye on his vacation already. Not really sure why he played at the Greenbrier either.
Ryo Ishikawa 1 pt E/W @ 175/1 Stan James @ 6 places
Plays way beyond his years, which should suits the majors. Closed well last week at firsetone, intelligent player. Outside chance though.
Rory Sabatini .5 pts E/W @ 175/1 Skybet @ 6 places.
Drove it well last week, great GIR last week too. If he can maintain his game going into this week, could be an interesting pick.
Jerry Kelly 1 pt E/W @ 250/1 @ 6 places Paddypower
Had to, after last week. He played the par 5's well last week which could be key here.
It looks like a links but it's not a links is the only bit of informtation going around about Whistling Straits this week. Thanks for that guys. So what is it?
- Well, it has four par fives, of which only 1 is reachable to the mere mortal in 2 shots. But they will try anyway lol.
- The greens are fast but i'd imagine very difficult when it dries out in the afternoon.
- Weather is expected to be good, and not so windy over Thursday and Friday so no draw advantage. scattered thunderstorms on Friday possible.
Just when you least expect, El Nino strikes.
Sergio Garcia 1pt E/W @ 80/1 Skybet 1,2,3,4,5,6 places Who's stupid enough to pick El Nino this week? Meeeeeeeeeeeeeeee.
Reasoning: He's not played that badly the past few weeks, driving it well, also has good par 5 birdie or better stats. Cons, too many to mention, but he rarely plays appalingly and it may just take one moment to spark him into life. Here's hoping he doesn't have one eye on his vacation already. Not really sure why he played at the Greenbrier either.
Ryo Ishikawa 1 pt E/W @ 175/1 Stan James @ 6 places
Plays way beyond his years, which should suits the majors. Closed well last week at firsetone, intelligent player. Outside chance though.
Rory Sabatini .5 pts E/W @ 175/1 Skybet @ 6 places.
Drove it well last week, great GIR last week too. If he can maintain his game going into this week, could be an interesting pick.
Jerry Kelly 1 pt E/W @ 250/1 @ 6 places Paddypower
Had to, after last week. He played the par 5's well last week which could be key here.
Monday, August 9, 2010
Jerry Kelly brings home the Moulah!!
Well, some Moulah, anyway.
selection 1: James Nitties @ 90/1 Bet365 - 1pt E/W
Outcome: BET LOST. Made the cut, very incosistant performance. Notes: Good driving, Poor irons, average putting.
James missed the cut last week, so how can I justify picking him?
Well, he Shot a very impressive second round 63 to make up for a dismal first round which should provide him with enough confidence going into this week. He has shown moderate form the past few weeks and Finished inside the top 20 here last year. Let's hope he carries on his recent form and that MC last week has helped with the chunky price.
Selection 2: Jerry kelly @ 150/1 Bet365 - 1pt E/W
Outcome: BET PLACE/DEAD HEAT @ 60% of stake. Returned 23 Pts. Shot -8 on Sunday, and even had two bogeys in the round. Notes: Great driving, good irons, average putting.
Selection 3: Brian Davis @ 125/1 Stan James - 1pt E/W
Outcome: BET LOSE: Made the cut and was brialliantly poised after every round to attack, but attack he ddin't. T22nd, just couldn't get the putter going. Notes: Great Driving, ok Irons, and poor putting performance.
The nearly man of the year. The forgotten man of the year. Not anymore.
Brian will be remembered this year for his sportsmanship when handing victory to Jim Furyk after he interefered with his own ball by accident, at the Verizon Heritage (Oh yeah, now i remember him lol.) He has showed good form in spits and spats this year and not alot recently, but the Two second place finishes this year shows he can get it going. He's never won on the PGA tour and he will have as good a chance as any in this low key event with little media attention.
Total Staked: 6 pts. + 1.2 @ WGC = 7.2 pts
Total Returned 23 pts
Total profit: 15.8 Pts
selection 1: James Nitties @ 90/1 Bet365 - 1pt E/W
Outcome: BET LOST. Made the cut, very incosistant performance. Notes: Good driving, Poor irons, average putting.
James missed the cut last week, so how can I justify picking him?
Well, he Shot a very impressive second round 63 to make up for a dismal first round which should provide him with enough confidence going into this week. He has shown moderate form the past few weeks and Finished inside the top 20 here last year. Let's hope he carries on his recent form and that MC last week has helped with the chunky price.
Selection 2: Jerry kelly @ 150/1 Bet365 - 1pt E/W
Outcome: BET PLACE/DEAD HEAT @ 60% of stake. Returned 23 Pts. Shot -8 on Sunday, and even had two bogeys in the round. Notes: Great driving, good irons, average putting.
The price for Jerry this week is staggering. He's one of the best players in the field, without question.
The reason behind the high price is he has 4 MC's in a row coming into this event. Out of form right? Yes, and no. He shot average rounds in all the events except for the Brittish open where he played poorly, but this isn't the Brittish open now is it? so that form can be excused. The law of averages would say he's going to make the cut this week and i've a sneaky feeling he might do a lot more, expecting at least one low round from Jerry this week.Selection 3: Brian Davis @ 125/1 Stan James - 1pt E/W
Outcome: BET LOSE: Made the cut and was brialliantly poised after every round to attack, but attack he ddin't. T22nd, just couldn't get the putter going. Notes: Great Driving, ok Irons, and poor putting performance.
The nearly man of the year. The forgotten man of the year. Not anymore.
Brian will be remembered this year for his sportsmanship when handing victory to Jim Furyk after he interefered with his own ball by accident, at the Verizon Heritage (Oh yeah, now i remember him lol.) He has showed good form in spits and spats this year and not alot recently, but the Two second place finishes this year shows he can get it going. He's never won on the PGA tour and he will have as good a chance as any in this low key event with little media attention.
Total Staked: 6 pts. + 1.2 @ WGC = 7.2 pts
Total Returned 23 pts
Total profit: 15.8 Pts
Friday, August 6, 2010
Premier League 2010/2011
Some Idea's I have going for the New Premier League season 2010/2011.
* Depending on how important and how much effort is put into the midweek game.
** Depending on moderate form of opponents and just may not work in general.
Just penning my thoughts. For Now. Biatch.
- Darren bent First Goal-Scorer in every league game.
- Torres First Scorer every second league game
- Spurs opponents DNB after each champions league tie, e.g. 2 games in a week.*
- Man City to draw every game.**
* Depending on how important and how much effort is put into the midweek game.
** Depending on moderate form of opponents and just may not work in general.
Just penning my thoughts. For Now. Biatch.
Wednesday, August 4, 2010
Nibble at Akron
Week 1: WGC @ Akron
My main focus is on the Turning stone event this week, just had a quick nibble at huge prices on a couple of players not completely out of form.
Oliie Fisher @ 400/1 0.8 Pts
Ollies last decent finish was 11th in the BMW International Open in late june, I don't know the reason why he missed the following 3 events, presuming it's an injury. His last 3 rounds were 74+ or higher, hence the price.
So, he's due a good round, and I hope a good all round performance at Akron. He's just said on twitter, he feels his game is coming around, which is good.
Gregory Bourdy @ 570/1 0.4 pts.
Came 6th in France in early July, so the price isn't fair and just imo, still it would be quite sometime if he pulled off the win. Solid stats all round this year hence the bet.
I should have a detailed blog for the USPGA next week.
Total staked: 1.2 pts.
My main focus is on the Turning stone event this week, just had a quick nibble at huge prices on a couple of players not completely out of form.
Oliie Fisher @ 400/1 0.8 Pts
Ollies last decent finish was 11th in the BMW International Open in late june, I don't know the reason why he missed the following 3 events, presuming it's an injury. His last 3 rounds were 74+ or higher, hence the price.
So, he's due a good round, and I hope a good all round performance at Akron. He's just said on twitter, he feels his game is coming around, which is good.
Gregory Bourdy @ 570/1 0.4 pts.
Came 6th in France in early July, so the price isn't fair and just imo, still it would be quite sometime if he pulled off the win. Solid stats all round this year hence the bet.
I should have a detailed blog for the USPGA next week.
Total staked: 1.2 pts.
Tuesday, August 3, 2010
Week 1: Turning Stone Resort Selections
There are Two events on the PGA tour this week, one for the good players, and one for the not so good players. Let's have a stab at the not so good players then.
Selection 1: James Nitties @ 90/1 Bet365 - 1pt E/W
Well, he Shot a very impressive second round 63 to make up for a dismal first round which should provide him with enough confidence going into this week. He has shown moderate form the past few weeks and Finished inside the top 20 here last year. Let's hope he carries on his recent form and that MC last week has helped with the chunky price.
Selection 2: Jerry kelly @ 150/1 Bet365 - 1pt E/W
The reason behind the high price is he has 4 MC's in a row coming into this event. Out of form right? Yes, and no. He shot average rounds in all the events except for the Brittish open where he played poorly, but this isn't the Brittish open now is it? so that form can be excused. The law of averages would say he's going to make the cut this week and i've a sneaky feeling he might do a lot more, expecting at least one low round from Jerry this week.
Selection 3: Brian Davis @ 125/1 Stan James - 1pt E/W
The nearly man of the year. The forgotten man of the year. Not anymore.
Brian will be remembered this year for his sportsmanship when handing victory to Jim Furyk after he interefered with his own ball by accident, at the Verizon Heritage (Oh yeah, now i remember him lol.) He has showed good form in spits and spats this year and not alot recently, but the Two second place finishes this year shows he can get it going. He's never won on the PGA tour and he will have as good a chance as any in this low key event with little media attention.
Total Staked: 6 pts.
Selection 1: James Nitties @ 90/1 Bet365 - 1pt E/W
James missed the cut last week, so how can I justify picking him?
Well, he Shot a very impressive second round 63 to make up for a dismal first round which should provide him with enough confidence going into this week. He has shown moderate form the past few weeks and Finished inside the top 20 here last year. Let's hope he carries on his recent form and that MC last week has helped with the chunky price.
Selection 2: Jerry kelly @ 150/1 Bet365 - 1pt E/W
The price for Jerry this week is staggering. He's one of the best players in the field, without question.
The reason behind the high price is he has 4 MC's in a row coming into this event. Out of form right? Yes, and no. He shot average rounds in all the events except for the Brittish open where he played poorly, but this isn't the Brittish open now is it? so that form can be excused. The law of averages would say he's going to make the cut this week and i've a sneaky feeling he might do a lot more, expecting at least one low round from Jerry this week.
Selection 3: Brian Davis @ 125/1 Stan James - 1pt E/W
The nearly man of the year. The forgotten man of the year. Not anymore.
Brian will be remembered this year for his sportsmanship when handing victory to Jim Furyk after he interefered with his own ball by accident, at the Verizon Heritage (Oh yeah, now i remember him lol.) He has showed good form in spits and spats this year and not alot recently, but the Two second place finishes this year shows he can get it going. He's never won on the PGA tour and he will have as good a chance as any in this low key event with little media attention.
Total Staked: 6 pts.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)