Wyndham Championship Preview

What do you do when you fall off the horse?

So, we're going to try to get back on track at this low profile event on the PGA tour.  Some key points:

• Estimated winning score -15 to -18.
• Par 70, only two par 5's.
• Shot course, with only three long par 4's.
• Ranked 24th out of 31 in terms of difficulty for 2009. ( 1 Being uber hard)
•  Poor quality field with the exception of Kim, Glover, Ryan Moore, Fred Couples. ( all potential Ryder cup players)

A player I fancied at Turning Stone a couple of weeks back before he pulled out is Jimmy Walker.  He came 3rd recently at the Greenbrier and is available at 200/1 on Betfair.  Driving accuracy is a mere 50% but striking it well enough to do the business around here. Poor course form a negative. I feel he's one who's gone under the radar this week and could have a big chance come Sunday.

Interesting to note that Micheal Sim is 50/1. Which seems very good value if you look at his stats!! But the sats must be lying as he 4 MC's from his last 6 played?  Take alook at these bad-ass stats lol. Nationwide stats from 2009.

But I do like him this week, he has shown great potential with, for example, a t-3rd at Turning Stone, and his nationwide tour form this time last year was teriffic.

Another one who takes my eye is Richard S Johnson. I would usually have a player of this calibre pinned for no more wins for a couple of years after he wins one event! But he has performed solidly at the very least since his win in Sweden in July. So, to break that down a little, his last three outings were 1st, T21st and T8th. The last two being on easier type courses, but unfortunately his best round was only a 66. To be honest, I could see him putting together four solid rounds (66-69) but also something along the lines of  69-63-66-70 type performance. ( would you give me 1,000,000/1 on that? xD ) Just a thought.

Chris Di Marco and Davis Love three I ( In Cinema's soon ), are funny one's this week. Two Wonderful players who should suit this course and are at decent prices! But i'm opting against them, Love may suffer from fatigue after the PGA and Di Marco I just feel could start to slowly and leave him self too much to do. Not the most comprehensive of dismissals.

Finally, Micheal Leitzig has me thinking. He has a t9th here from a couple years back and some solid form this summer to go on. Has he got the ability to real low? His history wouldn't suggest it but having posted a -10 and a -12 inside the last month, he might just be tempting it. He's fancied by a few this week too it seems.

Selections:

1. Jimmy Walker: 1pt E/W  @ 125/1 SkyBet + 0.6 win @ 190/1 Betfair
2. Richard S Johnson: 1pt E/W @ 50/1 Sportingbet + 0.6 win @ 64/1Betfair
3. Micheal Sim: 1pt win @ 50/1 Betfair
4. Micheal Leitzig:. .5 pt e/w  @ 100/1 Sportingbet + 0.4 win @ 120/1 Betfair

 Total Staked @ Wyndham: 9.6 pts

Profit after Man united game: + 7.0 pts

Liability: - 2.6 pts