So it was a couple of weeks back now when I backed Luke Donald after round 3 at 1,000/1. As predicted he got off to a flyer,. Watching him on the exchanges he went from 1,000 right into 20/1. He had only reached hole 10! was 2 shots off the lead! bogey free, birdie crazy, I really thought he could have the perfect round, due to his very consistent game and great putting ability. Foolish? or what. I was toying with the idea of trading out for e250 profit if he failed to win and 400 if he did. A true win win situation. But alas, I didn't, and I watched him drop shot after shot and my payday went up in smoke. -11 got into a playoff in the end.
People are doing very risky business laying top golfers at 1,000/1 when they still have half a chance of winning, usually after round 2. The leaders who go off late almost always get brought back to the pack. A combination of the late tee-time pressure, the greens drying out, and all the waiting around gets to the players. Even last week, Miguel Angel Jimenez nearly botched up at Crane-Sur-Siere with a 5 shot lead, on the final day going into the turn. He just didn't know how too play the 2 par 5s on the back nine. Jason Day the past couple of weeks, done everyhting text book but someone came and grabbed the title from him.
Bank Breakdown after previuos midweek qualifiers
Bank Breakdown.
Total Staked: 39.6 pts
Total Returned 37 pts
Total loss -2.6 pts.
No comments:
Post a Comment